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Fairfax city, VA

Wildfire Risk Assessment & Home Hardening ROI Analysis

Risk: Very Low (11th percentile nationally)

Wildfire Risk Overview

Fairfax city in Virginia is in the 11th percentile nationally for risk to homes, the very low risk category. Fairfax city's mean risk to homes ranks at the 11th percentile of U.S. counties: at or above 11% of them (USDA Forest Service, Wildfire Risk to Communities). This is a rank among counties, not a dollar loss.

Fairfax city's mean annual burn probability is at or above 12% of U.S. counties (national percentile rank, USDA Forest Service, Wildfire Risk to Communities). A percentile rank compares counties with one another. It is not the chance that a fire reaches a home in a given year. Fairfax city's mean annual burn probability is <0.01% a year: the average across its wildfire-exposed land (USDA Forest Service, Wildfire Risk to Communities, 2026 county summary). It is a county figure, not a forecast for any one home. About 61% of the county's buildings sit in the minimal-exposure zone, where the chance is lower.

No Wildland-Urban Interface class is published for Fairfax city in our dataset, so none is shown. Homes in WUI areas face elevated wildfire exposure due to proximity to fire-prone vegetation.

National Risk Percentile

11/100

A rank among U.S. counties

Annual Burn Probability

<0.01% a year

Likelihood rank: at or above 12% of U.S. counties

WUI Class

N/A

FHSZ Tier

N/A

Source: USDA Forest Service, Wildfire Risk to Communities, county summary, 2026 release (doi.org/10.2737/RDS-2024-0030).

Insurance & Market Context

Insurance rules differ by state. The California FAIR Plan and its Safer from Wildfires discounts apply to California homes. For Fairfax city in Virginia, ask your insurer or your state insurance department which wildfire-mitigation discounts and coverage options apply to your home.

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Other VA Counties

Explore wildfire risk and hardening costs for other WUI counties in Virginia, sorted by risk level:

This County Across Smart Technology Investments

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Health and care costs

Data Sources & Methodology

Burn probability and the national percentile ranks come from the USFS Wildfire Risk to Communities (WRC) county summary, 2026 release (doi.org/10.2737/RDS-2024-0030). Fire hazard severity zones are from CalFire FRAP. Insurance discount estimates follow the California Department of Insurance Safer from Wildfires framework. Hardening cost estimates are reference ranges informed by IBHS guidance with a regional cost multiplier; they are estimates, not contractor quotes. Financial projections use a discount rate based on the 10-year Treasury yield and an insurance price inflation assumption; each paid answer reports the exact rates it used. All calculations are deterministic with no AI-generated content.